发改委对《经济参考报》几位“专家”预测CPI言论的澄清
2010
06/04
17:36
15956
针对有关观点，记者采访了国家发改委有关部门负责人，该负责人表示，已注意到有关媒体发表的这些观点。高辉清文中对下半年CPI涨幅达到7％的判断是没有事实根据的。按照统计学的基本概念，居民消费价格指数同比涨幅由两部分构成，一是去年涨价的滞后影响，即所谓的“翘尾”因素；二是今年以来的新涨价因素。据测算，去年涨价对今年下半年翘尾的影响约为1.3个百分点，如要达到7％左右的涨幅，新涨价因素应达到5.7个百分点，某些月份的同比涨幅将接近或超过10％。而物价形势十分严峻的2007年、2008年，新涨价因素也不过3.1
来源：
国家发改委网站
发布人：
免责声明：本站部分内容是由网友自主投稿和发布、编辑整理上传，对此类作品本站仅提供交流平台，不为其版权负责。如果您发现网站上有侵犯您的知识产权的作品，请与我们取得联系，我们会及时修改或删除。
Notice: Part of the content of this site is submitted, published, edited and uploaded by netizens. This site only provides an exchange platform for such works, and is not responsible for their copyright. If you find any works on the website that infringe your intellectual property rights, please contact us and we will modify or delete them in a timely manner.
Notice: Part of the content of this site is submitted, published, edited and uploaded by netizens. This site only provides an exchange platform for such works, and is not responsible for their copyright. If you find any works on the website that infringe your intellectual property rights, please contact us and we will modify or delete them in a timely manner.
